Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Santa Margherita di Pula 3, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 April 2025, Friday


	Alessandra Mazzola		Julie Belgraver

	1	2
			Watch
	1.7	2
	1.74	2.02
	1.72	2.06	Watch
	1.8	1.91
	1.73	1.99	Watch
	1.7	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.91)	1.99 ↑ (1.8)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alessandra Mazzola
53.4%

Julie Belgraver
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alessandra Mazzola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Julie Belgraver has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alessandra Mazzola than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alessandra Mazzola that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Julie Belgraver than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Julie Belgraver could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	0%	41.7%

Alessandra Mazzola - Julie Belgraver Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Mazzola will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Belgraver will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mazzola: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Mazzola (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Belgraver (votes: 6 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mazzola is ranked WTA: 633. Belgraver is ranked WTA: 344.

Two players are playing changeable.

Mazzola could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alessandra Mazzola
ITF Tournaments
11.04.25	Alessandra Mazzola - Emma Lene	0:2 ✺
10.04.25	Mia Horvit - Alessandra Mazzola	Horvit M. retired ✺
08.04.25	Alessandra Mazzola - Tatiana Pieri	2:0 ✺
22.03.25	Yelyzaveta Kotliar - Alessandra Mazzola	2:0 ✺
21.03.25	Denislava Glushkova - Alessandra Mazzola	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 L?WLW
- Julie Belgraver
ITF Tournaments
02.04.25	Mia Pohankova - Julie Belgraver	2:0 ✺
31.03.25	Julie Belgraver - Valentina Ryser	2:0 ✺
25.03.25	Julie Belgraver - Tereza Valentova	0:2 ✺
07.03.25	Julie Belgraver - Sofia Costoulas	1:2 ✺
06.03.25	Julie Belgraver - Anastasia Kulikova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWLLW

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