Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Reggio Emilia, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 14 May 2026, Thursday


	Alessandro Pecci		Tommaso Compagnucci

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.75	2.1
	1.72	1.98	Watch
	1.67	2.05
	1.7	2.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (2.5)	2.04 ↑ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alessandro Pecci
54.3%

Tommaso Compagnucci
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alessandro Pecci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alessandro Pecci's performance.

Tommaso Compagnucci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tommaso Compagnucci might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alessandro Pecci than the current prediction. (-14.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alessandro Pecci that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tommaso Compagnucci than the current prediction. (+14.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tommaso Compagnucci could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alessandro Pecci - Tommaso Compagnucci Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pecci is ranked ATP: 569. Compagnucci is ranked ATP: 393.

Pecci is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Compagnucci's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Compagnucci may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pecci won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Alessandro Pecci - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 37.66%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alessandro Pecci
ITF Tournaments
12.05.26	Alessandro Pecci - Luca Parenti	2:0 ✺
12.05.26	Alessandro Pecci - Federico Iannaccone	Canceled ✺
23.04.26	Alessandro Pecci - Marek Gengel	1:2 ✺
22.04.26	Thomas John Fancutt - Alessandro Pecci	0:2 ✺
18.04.26	Alessandro Pecci - Robert Strombachs	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 W?LWW
- Tommaso Compagnucci
ITF Tournaments
12.05.26	Giovanni Oradini - Tommaso Compagnucci	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.04.26	Tommaso Compagnucci - Pol Martin Tiffon	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.04.26	Giovanni Oradini - Tommaso Compagnucci	2:0 ✺
22.04.26	Matteo Mura - Tommaso Compagnucci	1:2 ✺
21.04.26	Alessandro Coccioli - Tommaso Compagnucci	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
29.08.23	Tommaso Compagnucci - Alessandro Pecci	1:2

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