Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Plovdiv 4, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 23 September 2026, Wednesday


	Tommaso Compagnucci		Pol Martin Tiffon

	1	2
			Watch
	2.75	1.40
	2.85	1.38	Watch
	2.97	1.34	Watch
	2.95	1.38
	2.89	1.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.74)	1.37 ↓ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tommaso Compagnucci
32.3%

Pol Martin Tiffon
67.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

66.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

72%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tommaso Compagnucci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Pol Martin Tiffon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tommaso Compagnucci than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pol Martin Tiffon than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Tommaso Compagnucci - Pol Martin Tiffon Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Compagnucci will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Martin Tiffon will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Compagnucci is ranked ATP: 366., and Martin Tiffon is ranked ATP: 215..

Each of the two players is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Compagnucci may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bookmakers give the edge to Martin Tiffon for this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Compagnucci has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:4 (averaging 0:2 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tommaso Compagnucci
ATP Challenger
22.09.26	Tommaso Compagnucci - Yanaki Milev	2:1 ✺
17.09.26	Tommaso Compagnucci - Juan Cruz Martin Manzano	0:2 ✺
15.09.26	Riccardo Carpano - Tommaso Compagnucci	0:2
21.08.26	Dominic Stephan Stricker - Tommaso Compagnucci	2:0 ✺
20.08.26	Tommaso Compagnucci - Juan Manuel La Serna	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWLW
- Pol Martin Tiffon
ATP Challenger
21.09.26	Benjamin Hassan - Pol Martin Tiffon	1:2 ✺
07.09.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Pol Martin Tiffon	2:1 ✺
02.09.26	Pol Martin Tiffon - Oleksandr Ovcharenko	1:2 ✺
01.09.26	Pol Martin Tiffon - Juan Pablo Ficovich	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
24.08.26	Pol Martin Tiffon - Tom Gentzsch	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
27.04.26	Tommaso Compagnucci - Pol Martin Tiffon	0:2
ITF Tournaments
18.10.24	Pol Martin Tiffon - Tommaso Compagnucci	2:0

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