Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Fayetteville, AR (USA), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 20 September 2024, Friday


	Alessio Vasquez Gehrke		Mario Martinez Serrano

	1	2
	2.15	1.6
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.83)	1.6 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alessio Vasquez Gehrke
42.7%

Mario Martinez Serrano
57.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alessio Vasquez Gehrke has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alessio Vasquez Gehrke's form might have worsened.

Mario Martinez Serrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mario Martinez Serrano's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alessio Vasquez Gehrke than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alessio Vasquez Gehrke, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mario Martinez Serrano than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mario Martinez Serrano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alessio Vasquez Gehrke - Mario Martinez Serrano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Vasquez Gehrke is ranked ATP: 1476. Martinez Serrano is ranked ATP: 1361.

Vasquez Gehrke is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Martinez Serrano is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alessio Vasquez Gehrke
ITF Tournaments
19.09.24	Matt Kuhar - Alessio Vasquez Gehrke	1:2 ✺
18.09.24	Ilgiz Valiev - Alessio Vasquez Gehrke	1:2 ✺
02.08.24	Alessio Vasquez Gehrke - Maxime Chazal	0:2 ✺
01.08.24	Jesse De Jager - Alessio Vasquez Gehrke	1:2 ✺
31.07.24	Dimitris Sakellaridis - Alessio Vasquez Gehrke	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWLWW
- Mario Martinez Serrano
ITF Tournaments
19.09.24	Mario Martinez Serrano - Khololwam Montsi	2:1 ✺
18.09.24	Mario Martinez Serrano - Benedikt Emesz	2:1 ✺
06.08.24	Daniel Sancho Arbizu - Mario Martinez Serrano	2:0 ✺
03.08.24	Ignacio Parisca - Mario Martinez Serrano	2:1 ✺
02.08.24	Mario Martinez Serrano - Philip Hjorth	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WWLLW

Alessio Vasquez Gehrke - Mario Martinez Serrano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide