Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Jingshan, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 September 2026, Tuesday


	Alevtina Ibragimova		Daria Khomutsianskaya

	1	2
	1.36	3.00	Watch
	1.40	2.88	Watch
	1.37	2.86	Watch
	1.42	2.83
	1.38	3.04	Watch
	1.38	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.32)	2.91 ↓ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alevtina Ibragimova
67.8%

Daria Khomutsianskaya
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.4%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.4%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alevtina Ibragimova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Daria Khomutsianskaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alevtina Ibragimova than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daria Khomutsianskaya than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Alevtina Ibragimova - Daria Khomutsianskaya Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ibragimova is ranked WTA: 166., and Khomutsianskaya is ranked WTA: 286..

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Khomutsianskaya may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Ibragimova is considered the favorite to take the win.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alevtina Ibragimova
WTA Seoul
22.09.26	Alevtina Ibragimova - Yeon Woo Ku	0:2 ✺
20.09.26	Alevtina Ibragimova - Sara Saito	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Alevtina Ibragimova - Rina Saigo	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.09.26	Rositsa Dencheva - Alevtina Ibragimova	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Alevtina Ibragimova - Alicia Herrero Linana	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWLW
- Daria Khomutsianskaya
ITF Tournaments
25.09.26	Daria Khomutsianskaya - Yuhan Wang	0:2 ✺
24.09.26	Daria Khomutsianskaya - Ruien Zhang	2:0 ✺
23.09.26	Daria Khomutsianskaya - Darja Suvirdjonkova	2:0 ✺
22.09.26	Daria Khomutsianskaya - Marianna Shikhanova	2:0 ✺
17.09.26	Yujia Huang - Daria Khomutsianskaya	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWWWL

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