Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 ANAPOIMA (COLOMBIA), CLAY - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 17 March 2023, Friday


	Alex Barrena		Eduardo Ribeiro

	1	2
			Watch
	1.6	2.15
	1.57	2.28
	1.6	2.29
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.61	2.18	Watch
	1.59	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.77)	2.23 ↑ (1.93)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Barrena
58.3%

Eduardo Ribeiro
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Barrena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alex Barrena's performance.

Eduardo Ribeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Eduardo Ribeiro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Barrena than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alex Barrena that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eduardo Ribeiro than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Eduardo Ribeiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alex Barrena - Eduardo Ribeiro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Barrena is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ribeiro is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Barrena could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Barrena
ITF Tournaments
16.03.23	Jan Choinski - Alex Barrena	1:2 ✺
15.03.23	Alex Barrena - Daniel Salazar	2:0 ✺
09.03.23	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Alex Barrena	2:1 ✺
08.03.23	Alex Barrena - Thiago Cigarran	2:0 ✺
22.02.23	Alex Barrena - Fermin Tenti	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLWL
- Eduardo Ribeiro
ITF Tournaments
16.03.23	Jose-Rubin Statham - Eduardo Ribeiro	1:2 ✺
14.03.23	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Eduardo Ribeiro	1:2 ✺
07.03.23	Eduardo Ribeiro - Emilien Voisin	0:2 ✺
02.03.23	Matias Zukas - Eduardo Ribeiro	0:2 ✺
01.03.23	Eduardo Ribeiro - Mariano Navone	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWLWW

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