Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Catania - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 12 October 2026, Monday


	Alex Marti Pujolras		Kai Wehnelt

	1	2
			Watch
	1.74	1.98	Watch
	1.71	2.02	Watch
	1.69	2.05
	1.68	2.03
	1.69	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.59)	2.03 ↓ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Marti Pujolras
54.3%

Kai Wehnelt
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Marti Pujolras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Kai Wehnelt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Marti Pujolras than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kai Wehnelt than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Alex Marti Pujolras - Kai Wehnelt Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Marti Pujolras is ranked ATP: 499., and Wehnelt is ranked ATP: 613..

Both players have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Wehnelt could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Alex Marti Pujolras - the odds 1.59 are the expected chance of winning is 57.94%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Kai Wehnelt - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 42.06%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Marti Pujolras
ATP Challenger
11.10.26	Alex Marti Pujolras - John Sperle	2:0 ✺
04.10.26	Alex Marti Pujolras - Filippo Moroni	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.09.26	Ignacio Parisca - Alex Marti Pujolras	2:1 ✺
22.09.26	Nico Hipfl - Alex Marti Pujolras	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.09.26	Alex Marti Pujolras - Stefano Napolitano	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLWL
- Kai Wehnelt
ATP Challenger
11.10.26	Kai Wehnelt - Lorenzo Angelini	2:0 ✺
27.09.26	Kai Wehnelt - Pierluigi Basile	1:2 ✺
20.09.26	Luca Wiedenmann - Kai Wehnelt	Wehnelt K. Retired ✺
15.09.26	Kilian Feldbausch - Kai Wehnelt	2:0 ✺
14.09.26	Michael Vrbensky - Kai Wehnelt	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WL?LW

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