Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Biella, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 September 2026, Tuesday


	Alex Marti Pujolras		Stefano Napolitano

	1	2
			Watch
	2.40	1.50
	2.41	1.5
	2.5	1.54
	2.55	1.45	Watch
	2.45	1.51
	2.42	1.5	Watch
	2.41	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (2.68)	1.5 ↑ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Marti Pujolras
38%

Stefano Napolitano
62%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

65.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

71.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Marti Pujolras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Stefano Napolitano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Marti Pujolras than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alex Marti Pujolras that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefano Napolitano than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stefano Napolitano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alex Marti Pujolras - Stefano Napolitano Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Napolitano (1.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Napolitano (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Marti Pujolras is ranked ATP: 506. Napolitano is ranked ATP: 283.

Marti Pujolras has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Napolitano is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Napolitano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Napolitano is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Marti Pujolras
ATP Challenger
14.09.26	Alex Marti Pujolras - Dimitris Sakellaridis	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Alex Marti Pujolras - Maximo Zeitune	2:0 ✺
07.09.26	Oriol Roca Batalla - Alex Marti Pujolras	2:0 ✺
19.08.26	Alex Marti Pujolras - Dimitar Kuzmanov	1:2 ✺
18.08.26	Gerard Campana Lee - Alex Marti Pujolras	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWLLW
- Stefano Napolitano
ATP Challenger
08.09.26	Stefano Napolitano - Stefano Travaglia	0:2 ✺
01.09.26	Henry Bernet - Stefano Napolitano	Napolitano S. Retired ✺
ATP US Open
24.08.26	Stefano Napolitano - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.08.26	Stefano Napolitano - Ugo Blanchet	1:2 ✺
27.07.26	Alexandre Muller - Stefano Napolitano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 L?LLL

Alex Marti Pujolras - Stefano Napolitano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide