Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Mataro (Spain), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 May 2024, Wednesday


	Alex Marti Pujolras		Tristan McCormick

	1	2
	1.65	2.05
	1.65	2.1
	1.63	2.19
	1.63	2.19
	1.69	2.08	Watch
	1.65	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.51)	2.12 ↓ (2.5)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Marti Pujolras
56.2%

Tristan McCormick
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Marti Pujolras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alex Marti Pujolras's form might have worsened.

Tristan McCormick has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tristan McCormick's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Marti Pujolras than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alex Marti Pujolras, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tristan McCormick than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tristan McCormick, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alex Marti Pujolras - Tristan McCormick Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Marti Pujolras is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches McCormick is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

McCormick could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Marti Pujolras
ITF Tournaments
08.05.24	Nicholas David Ionel - Alex Marti Pujolras	Canceled ✺
04.04.24	Peter Benjamin Privara - Alex Marti Pujolras	2:0 ✺
03.04.24	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Alex Marti Pujolras	0:2 ✺
27.03.24	Alex Marti Pujolras - Michiel De Krom	1:2 ✺
24.03.24	Alex Marti Pujolras - Lorenzo Giustino	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 ?LWLL
- Tristan McCormick
ITF Tournaments
15.05.24	Tristan McCormick - Max Alcala Gurri	0:2 ✺
08.05.24	Tristan McCormick - Martin Klizan	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
23.04.24	Denis Kudla - Tristan McCormick	2:0 ✺
22.04.24	Blaise Bicknell - Tristan McCormick	0:2 ✺
22.04.24	Tristan McCormick - Bogdan Bobrov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLLWW

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