Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Basel, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 29 October 2026, Thursday ⏱️ In 6h 0m 📅 Remind Me

Location: Basel 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Alex Michelsen		Arthur Fils

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.70	1.45
	2.75	1.43
	2.89	1.44	Watch
	2.85	1.43
	2.8	1.46	Watch
	2.75	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (2.66)	1.44 ↓ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Michelsen
34.1%

Arthur Fils
65.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.5%

64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

70.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Michelsen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Arthur Fils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Fils than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Alex Michelsen - Arthur Fils Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Michelsen is ranked ATP: 34., and Fils is ranked ATP: 8..

Each of the two players is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Michelsen could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Fils holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Michelsen has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Alex Michelsen - the odds 2.66 are the expected chance of winning is 35.5%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Arthur Fils - the odds 1.46 are the expected chance of winning is 64.5%, but this team recently wins 82% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Michelsen
ATP Basel
27.10.26	Alex Michelsen - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:1 ✺
ATP Brussels
23.10.26	Arthur Fils - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
22.10.26	David Goffin - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
19.10.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
10.10.26	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLWWL
- Arthur Fils
ATP Basel
27.10.26	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Arthur Fils	0:2 ✺
27.10.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Arthur Fils	Canceled ✺
ATP Brussels
24.10.26	Arthur Fils - Jan-Lennard Struff	1:2 ✺
23.10.26	Arthur Fils - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
22.10.26	Arthur Fils - Jaume Munar	Fils A. win ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 W?LW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Brussels
23.10.26	Arthur Fils - Alex Michelsen	2:0

Alex Michelsen - Arthur Fils