Match Info

Date: 27 May 2021, Thursday


	Alex Molcan		Fernando Verdasco

	1	2
	1.9	1.9	Watch
	1.95	1.83
	2.02	1.8	Watch
	1.93	1.81
	2.06	1.85
	1.95	1.85	Watch
	2.01	1.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.17)	1.85 ↑ (1.69)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Molcan
48.3%

Fernando Verdasco
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

56.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

57.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Molcan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Fernando Verdasco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Molcan than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alex Molcan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fernando Verdasco than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fernando Verdasco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Alex Molcan - Fernando Verdasco Predictions

Users Predictions: 57 users predict this event. Molcan will win (votes: 38 - 66.7%). Verdasco will win (votes: 19 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Molcan: 54.5% – 78.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Molcan in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Verdasco is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Molcan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Molcan to win the game is with odds 1.97.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Molcan won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Molcan
ATP Belgrade 2
25.05.21	Alex Molcan - Pedja Krstin	2:0 ✺
24.05.21	Alex Molcan - Hamad Medjedovic	2:0 ✺
23.05.21	Carlos Gomez-Herrera - Alex Molcan	0:2 ✺
22.05.21	Nerman Fatic - Alex Molcan	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.05.21	Federico Coria - Alex Molcan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWWWL
- Fernando Verdasco
ATP Belgrade 2
25.05.21	Fernando Verdasco - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
24.05.21	Lucas Pouille - Fernando Verdasco	0:2 ✺
ATP Geneva
18.05.21	Fernando Verdasco - Ilya Ivashka	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
03.05.21	Christian Garin - Fernando Verdasco	2:0 ✺
ATP Estoril
27.04.21	Fernando Verdasco - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWLLL

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