Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: St. Tropez, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 September 2025, Wednesday


	Alex Molcan		Kimmer Coppejans

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.37	2.85	Watch
	1.37	2.94	Watch
	1.54	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.61)	2.78 ↑ (2.23)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Molcan
66.3%

Kimmer Coppejans
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Molcan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alex Molcan's performance.

Kimmer Coppejans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kimmer Coppejans might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Molcan than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alex Molcan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kimmer Coppejans than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kimmer Coppejans could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Alex Molcan - Kimmer Coppejans Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Molcan is ranked ATP: 201. Coppejans is ranked ATP: 182.

Molcan has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Coppejans is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Molcan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Molcan won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Alex Molcan - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 58.07%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Molcan
Davis Cup World Group I
13.09.25	Alex Molcan - Adria Soriano Barrera	Canceled ✺
12.09.25	Alex Molcan - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.09.25	Nicolas Mejia - Alex Molcan	0:2 ✺
06.09.25	Alex Molcan - Stefanos Sakellaridis	2:0 ✺
05.09.25	Abedallah Shelbayh - Alex Molcan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 ?WWWW
- Kimmer Coppejans
ATP US Open
22.08.25	Kimmer Coppejans - Ignacio Buse	0:2 ✺
21.08.25	Alexander Blockx - Kimmer Coppejans	Blockx A. retired ✺
19.08.25	Alex Barrena - Kimmer Coppejans	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.08.25	Kimmer Coppejans - Tiago Pereira	1:2 ✺
29.07.25	Jerome Kym - Kimmer Coppejans	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 L?WLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
15.06.23	Alex Molcan - Kimmer Coppejans	2:0
ATP US Open
24.08.21	Kimmer Coppejans - Alex Molcan	0:2
ATP Challenger
08.09.18	Alex Molcan - Kimmer Coppejans	0:2

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