Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Liberec - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 28 July 2025, Monday


	Alex Molcan		Mikael Ymer

	1	2
			Watch
	1.44	2.54
	1.54	2.32	Watch
	1.54	2.46
	1.54	2.41	Watch
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.56	2.33	Watch
	1.57	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.57)	2.4 ↑ (2.21)

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Molcan
61.1%

Mikael Ymer
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Molcan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Mikael Ymer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Molcan than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alex Molcan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mikael Ymer than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mikael Ymer could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Alex Molcan - Mikael Ymer Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Molcan will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Ymer will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Molcan is ranked ATP: 384. Ymer is ranked ATP: 617.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Molcan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Molcan is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Molcan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Alex Molcan - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 58.47%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Molcan
ATP Challenger
27.07.25	Alex Molcan - Johan Nikles	2:1 ✺
22.07.25	Alex Molcan - Ivan Gakhov	1:2 ✺
21.07.25	Alex Molcan - Luca Castagnola	Castagnola L. retired ✺
20.07.25	Alex Molcan - Jiri Cizek	2:0 ✺
13.07.25	Alex Molcan - Tom Paris	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WL?W?
- Mikael Ymer
ATP Challenger
27.07.25	Amit Vales - Mikael Ymer	1:2 ✺
ATP Bastad
16.07.25	Mikael Ymer - Botic Van De Zandschulp	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.07.25	Mikael Ymer - Mika Brunold	Ymer M. retired ✺
30.06.25	Mikael Ymer - Kenny De Schepper	2:0 ✺
29.06.25	Alec Beckley - Mikael Ymer	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WL?WW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Wimbledon
03.07.23	Mikael Ymer - Alex Molcan	3:0
ATP Gstaad
19.07.21	Mikael Ymer - Alex Molcan	Canceled

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