Match Info

Date: 27 February 2021, Saturday


	Alex Molcan		Steven Diez

	1	2
	1.66	2.1	Watch
	1.72	2
	1.67	2.16	Watch
	1.72	1.97
	1.84	2.02
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.78	2.04	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.75)	2.06 ↓ (2.12)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Molcan
54.4%

Steven Diez
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Molcan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Steven Diez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Molcan than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Steven Diez than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Alex Molcan - Steven Diez Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Molcan will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Diez will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Molcan: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

In the last matches we may see a scene of defeats of two players.

Diez could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Molcan
ATP Challenger
26.02.21	Alex Molcan - Filip Horansky	2:0 ✺
25.02.21	Lorenzo Musetti - Alex Molcan	0:2 ✺
23.02.21	Alex Molcan - Mark Owen Endler	2:0 ✺
22.02.21	Alex Molcan - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	2:0 ✺
21.02.21	Alex Molcan - Pol Martin Tiffon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WWWWW
- Steven Diez
ATP Challenger
26.02.21	Riccardo Bonadio - Steven Diez	0:2 ✺
24.02.21	Steven Diez - Alessandro Giannessi	2:0 ✺
23.02.21	Emilio Nava - Steven Diez	1:2 ✺
17.02.21	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Steven Diez	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
12.01.21	Henri Laaksonen - Steven Diez	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWWLL

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