Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MARSEILLE (FRANCE), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 20 February 2023, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
France	beIN Sports
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Alexander Bublik		Filip Krajinovic

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.6	2.3
	1.64	2.38
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.57	2.4	Watch
	1.57	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.77)	2.35 ↑ (2.05)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Bublik
59.6%

Filip Krajinovic
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Bublik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alexander Bublik's performance.

Filip Krajinovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Filip Krajinovic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexander Bublik that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Filip Krajinovic than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Filip Krajinovic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
67.9%	0%	32.1%

Alexander Bublik - Filip Krajinovic Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Bublik will win (votes: 19 - 67.9%). Krajinovic will win (votes: 9 - 32.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bublik: 50.6% – 85.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bublik has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Krajinovic is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bublik could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bublik won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Bublik
ATP Rotterdam
13.02.23	Stanislas Wawrinka - Alexander Bublik	2:0 ✺
ATP Montpellier
08.02.23	Gregoire Barrere - Alexander Bublik	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
05.02.23	Christian Garin - Alexander Bublik	2:1 ✺
04.02.23	Nicolas Jarry - Alexander Bublik	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
16.01.23	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Alexander Bublik	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Filip Krajinovic
ATP Montpellier
09.02.23	Lorenzo Sonego - Filip Krajinovic	2:0 ✺
07.02.23	Filip Krajinovic - Aslan Karatsev	2:1 ✺
ATP Australian Open
16.01.23	Filip Krajinovic - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:3 ✺
ATP Pune
05.01.23	Filip Krajinovic - Benjamin Bonzi	0:2 ✺
04.01.23	Filip Krajinovic - Michael Mmoh	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Montpellier
05.02.22	Filip Krajinovic - Alexander Bublik	0:2

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