Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Lexington, KY, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 October 2025, Tuesday


	Alexander Kotzen		Braden Shick

	1	2
	1.18	4.11	Watch
	1.37	2.9	Watch
	1.65	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.98)	3.02 ↑ (1.72)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Kotzen
68.3%

Braden Shick
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Kotzen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alexander Kotzen's performance.

Braden Shick has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Braden Shick might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Kotzen than the current prediction. (-20.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexander Kotzen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braden Shick than the current prediction. (+20.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Braden Shick could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alexander Kotzen - Braden Shick Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kotzen (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kotzen is ranked ATP: 1117. Shick is ranked ATP: 1343.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Shick may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Kotzen
ITF Tournaments
27.09.25	Oliver Okonkwo - Alexander Kotzen	2:0 ✺
26.09.25	Alexander Kotzen - Matias Ponce De Leon Gomila	2:0 ✺
25.09.25	Alexander Kotzen - Tristan Stringer	2:0 ✺
24.09.25	Pawit Sornlaksup - Alexander Kotzen	0:2 ✺
19.09.25	Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes - Alexander Kotzen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWWWL
- Braden Shick
ITF Tournaments
02.10.25	Braden Shick - Luca Pow	0:2 ✺
01.10.25	Alafia Ayeni - Braden Shick	0:2 ✺
18.09.25	Braden Shick - Keegan Smith	0:2 ✺
16.09.25	Glib Sekachov - Braden Shick	0:2 ✺
13.08.25	Amirkhamza Nasridinov - Braden Shick	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLWL

Alexander Kotzen - Braden Shick: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide