Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rio de Janeiro (Brazil), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 February 2025, Monday


	Alexander Shevchenko		Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
			Watch
	2.06	1.74
	2.13	1.78
	2.05	1.75	Watch
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.22	1.68	Watch
	2.12	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.42)	1.72 ↑ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Shevchenko
44.7%

Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
55.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

60.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

61.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Shevchenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alexander Shevchenko's performance.

Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Shevchenko than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexander Shevchenko that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	0%	76.9%

Alexander Shevchenko - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Predictions

Users Predictions: Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves will win (18 of 22 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.7% – 97.94%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Raducanu is ranked WTA: 60. Muchova is ranked WTA: 17.

Raducanu is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Muchova is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Raducanu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Muchova is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Shevchenko
ATP Delray Beach
10.02.25	Alexander Shevchenko - Michael Mmoh	0:2 ✺
ATP Dallas
05.02.25	Reilly Opelka - Alexander Shevchenko	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
02.02.25	Alexander Shevchenko - Huzaifa Abdul Rehman	Canceled ✺
01.02.25	Alexander Shevchenko - Muzammil Murtaza	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
13.01.25	Alexander Shevchenko - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LL?WL
- Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
ATP Buenos Aires
09.02.25	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Roman Andres Burruchaga	1:2 ✺
08.02.25	Thiago Monteiro - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.02.25	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	2:1 ✺
03.02.25	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
29.01.25	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Facundo Mena	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWLWL

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