Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: LISBON (PORTUGAL) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - FINAL

Date: 2 October 2023, Monday


	Alexander Weis		Henrique Rocha

	1	2
			Watch
	1.72	1.95
	1.75	1.95	Watch
	1.78	1.97
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.73	2.02	Watch
	1.7	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.43)	2 ↓ (2.55)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Weis
53.7%

Henrique Rocha
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Weis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexander Weis's form might have worsened.

Henrique Rocha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Henrique Rocha's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Weis than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexander Weis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henrique Rocha than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Henrique Rocha, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Weis could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Weis will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Weis
ATP Challenger
01.10.23	Alexander Weis - Joao Domingues	2:1 ✺
24.09.23	Javier Barranco Cosano - Alexander Weis	2:0 ✺
20.09.23	Ivan Gakhov - Alexander Weis	2:1 ✺
19.09.23	Alexander Weis - Michael Vrbensky	2:1 ✺
29.08.23	Samuel Vincent Ruggeri - Alexander Weis	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLLWL
- Henrique Rocha
ATP Challenger
01.10.23	Duarte Vale - Henrique Rocha	0:2 ✺
26.09.23	Henrique Rocha - Titouan Droguet	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
22.09.23	Aidan McHugh - Henrique Rocha	2:0 ✺
21.09.23	Pedro Araujo - Henrique Rocha	0:2 ✺
20.09.23	Noah Schachter - Henrique Rocha	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Weis
ITF Tournaments
10.10.26	Alexander Weis - Andrey Chepelev	✺
09.10.26	Gabriele Crivellaro - Alexander Weis	✺

Alexander Weis - Henrique Rocha: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide