Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MILAN (ITALY), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 4 July 2023, Tuesday


	Alexander Weis		Hugo Grenier

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.1	1.65
	2.1	1.7
	2.07	1.79
	2.1	1.67
	2.08	1.69	Watch
	2.02	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (2.08)	1.68 ↑ (1.64)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Weis
44.5%

Hugo Grenier
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Weis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Hugo Grenier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Weis than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hugo Grenier than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Alexander Weis - Hugo Grenier Predictions

Users Predictions: Alexander Weis will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Weis is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Grenier is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Weis could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Grenier will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Weis
ATP Challenger
03.07.23	Alexander Weis - Remy Bertola	2:0 ✺
26.06.23	Alexander Weis - Remy Bertola	1:2 ✺
25.06.23	Alexander Weis - Lautaro Midon	2:0 ✺
20.06.23	Blaz Rola - Alexander Weis	2:1 ✺
13.06.23	Edoardo Lavagno - Alexander Weis	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLWLL
- Hugo Grenier
ATP Wimbledon
26.06.23	Shintaro Mochizuki - Hugo Grenier	2:0 ✺
ATP London
17.06.23	Arthur Fils - Hugo Grenier	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.06.23	Andy Murray - Hugo Grenier	2:0 ✺
13.06.23	Hugo Grenier - Jan Choinski	2:0 ✺
06.06.23	Ilya Ivashka - Hugo Grenier	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLWL

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