Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SANTIAGO (CHILE), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 11 March 2024, Monday


	Alexander Weis		Ignacio Buse

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.83	1.87	Watch
	1.88	1.85	Watch
	1.93	1.9
	1.93	1.9
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.86	1.88	Watch
	1.8	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.58)	1.89 ↓ (2.24)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Weis
50.5%

Ignacio Buse
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.6%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Weis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexander Weis's form might have worsened.

Ignacio Buse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ignacio Buse's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Weis than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexander Weis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ignacio Buse than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ignacio Buse, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Alexander Weis - Ignacio Buse Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Weis will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Buse will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Buse: 64.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Weis could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Weis
ATP Challenger
05.03.24	Goncalo Oliveira - Alexander Weis	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
20.02.24	Alexander Weis - Brian Bozemoj	Weis A. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
02.02.24	Alexander Weis - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	0:2 ✺
01.02.24	Daniel Dutra da Silva - Alexander Weis	0:2 ✺
30.01.24	Alexander Weis - Federico Agustin Gomez	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 L?LWW
- Ignacio Buse
ATP Challenger
04.03.24	Ignacio Buse - Guido Ivan Justo	0:2 ✺
03.03.24	Ignacio Buse - Jeison Ticona	2:0 ✺
ATP Santiago
24.02.24	Francisco Comesana - Ignacio Buse	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.02.24	Karue Sell - Ignacio Buse	2:1 ✺
14.02.24	Ignacio Buse - Jaime Faria	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLLW

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