Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SKOPJE (NORTH MACEDONIA) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - FINAL

Date: 22 May 2023, Monday


	Alexander Weis		Marko Topo

	1	2
			Watch
	2.25	1.55
	2.39	1.56
	2.25	1.57
	2.29	1.57	Watch
	2.24	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (1.76)	1.57 ↓ (1.93)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Weis
40.7%

Marko Topo
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Weis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexander Weis's form might have worsened.

Marko Topo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marko Topo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Weis than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexander Weis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marko Topo than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marko Topo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Alexander Weis - Marko Topo Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Weis will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Topo will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Topo: 29% – 96%.

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Preview

Weis is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Topo is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Topo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Our prediction for today's Topo to win the game is with odds 1.79.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Weis
ATP Challenger
21.05.23	Alexander Weis - Edas Butvilas	2:1 ✺
17.05.23	Jesper De Jong - Alexander Weis	2:0 ✺
16.05.23	Alexander Weis - Liam Broady	2:1 ✺
16.05.23	Nicolas Mejia - Alexander Weis	0:2 ✺
14.05.23	Antoine Hoang - Alexander Weis	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WLWWW
- Marko Topo
ATP Challenger
21.05.23	Marko Topo - Orlando Luz	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
21.05.23	Mathys Erhard - Marko Topo	0:2 ✺
20.05.23	Mark Lajal - Marko Topo	0:2 ✺
19.05.23	Marko Topo - Oliver Crawford	2:0 ✺
18.05.23	Marko Topo - Enrique Pena	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWWWW

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