Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SIBIU (ROMANIA) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 17 September 2023, Sunday


	Alexander Zgirovsky		Kirill Kivattsev

	1	2
			Watch
	3.2	1.3
	3.28	1.3
	3.25	1.33
	3.13	1.33	Watch
	2.8	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↑ (2.47)	1.33 ↓ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Zgirovsky
29.8%

Kirill Kivattsev
70.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

62.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

62.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Zgirovsky has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexander Zgirovsky's form might have worsened.

Kirill Kivattsev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kirill Kivattsev's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Zgirovsky than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexander Zgirovsky, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kirill Kivattsev than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kirill Kivattsev, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Zgirovsky is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Kivattsev is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Zgirovsky could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Kivattsev will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Zgirovsky
ATP Challenger
10.09.23	Daniel Rincon - Alexander Zgirovsky	Canceled ✺
27.08.23	Alexander Zgirovsky - Linang Xiao	0:2 ✺
26.08.23	Alexander Zgirovsky - Qiulin Wang	2:0 ✺
22.08.23	Alexander Zgirovsky - Arthur Weber	0:2 ✺
20.08.23	Yusuke Takahashi - Alexander Zgirovsky	Takahashi Y. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 ?LWL?
- Kirill Kivattsev
ITF Tournaments
13.09.23	Kirill Kivattsev - Stefan Palosi	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.09.23	David Pichler - Kirill Kivattsev	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.09.23	Kirill Kivattsev - Nicolas Zanellato	1:2 ✺
01.09.23	Kirill Kivattsev - Sandro Kopp	2:1 ✺
30.08.23	Kirill Kivattsev - Davide Ferrarolli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLWW

Alexander Zgirovsky - Kirill Kivattsev: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide