Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Guangzhou 2 - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 14 September 2026, Monday


	Alexandr Binda		Kousuke Ogura

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Alexandr Binda
68.3%

Kousuke Ogura
31.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

66.8%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.3%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexandr Binda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Kousuke Ogura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexandr Binda than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kousuke Ogura than the current prediction. (+3%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Binda is ranked ATP: 552. Ogura is ranked ATP: 821.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Binda is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Binda won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexandr Binda
ATP Challenger
13.09.26	Alexandr Binda - Kaito Uesugi	2:0 ✺
08.09.26	Alexandr Binda - Tung-Lin Wu	0:2 ✺
07.09.26	Alexandr Binda - Mikalai Haliak	2:0 ✺
06.09.26	Alexandr Binda - Cheng-Peng Hsieh	2:0
10.08.26	Khumoun Sultanov - Alexandr Binda	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWWL
- Kousuke Ogura
ATP Challenger
13.09.26	Daisuke Sumizawa - Kousuke Ogura	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.09.26	Kousuke Ogura - Seong Chan Hong	0:2 ✺
08.09.26	Robin Catry - Kousuke Ogura	0:2 ✺
01.09.26	Yanki Erel - Kousuke Ogura	2:1 ✺
26.08.26	Kousuke Ogura - Omar Jasika	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWLL

ITF Tournaments
14.07.21	Alexandr Binda - Kousuke Ogura	0:2

Alexandr Binda - Kousuke Ogura: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide