Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Maanshan, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 1 April 2026, Wednesday


	Alexandr Binda		Sergey Fomin

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	2.86	1.43
	2.71	1.39	Watch
	2.73	1.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.18)	1.41 ↓ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexandr Binda
33.7%

Sergey Fomin
66.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

62.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexandr Binda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexandr Binda's form might have worsened.

Sergey Fomin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sergey Fomin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexandr Binda than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sergey Fomin than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Alexandr Binda - Sergey Fomin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Binda is ranked ATP: 477. Fomin is ranked ATP: 336.

Binda is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Fomin has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Binda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Fomin could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexandr Binda
ITF Tournaments
31.03.26	Alexandr Binda - Zurui Zhang	2:0 ✺
28.03.26	Alexandr Binda - Rawat Sidharth	0:2 ✺
27.03.26	Alexandr Binda - Grigoriy Lomakin	2:0 ✺
25.03.26	Alexandr Binda - Hitesh Chauhan	2:0 ✺
24.03.26	Alexandr Binda - Varun Dhandhukia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLWWW
- Sergey Fomin
ITF Tournaments
31.03.26	Sergey Petrov - Sergey Fomin	0:2 ✺
25.03.26	Sergey Fomin - Qian Sun	1:2 ✺
24.03.26	Sergey Fomin - Xiaofei Wang	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.03.26	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Sergey Fomin	Canceled ✺
10.02.26	Sergey Fomin - Sergio Callejon Hernando	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLW?L

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