Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tenerife 2 - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 10 February 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Tenerife 2 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Sergey Fomin		Sergio Callejon Hernando

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Sergey Fomin
48.3%

Sergio Callejon Hernando
51.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.8%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sergey Fomin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sergey Fomin's form might have worsened.

Sergio Callejon Hernando has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sergio Callejon Hernando's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sergey Fomin than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sergio Callejon Hernando than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Fomin is ranked ATP: 330. Callejon Hernando is ranked ATP: 521.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Fomin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sergey Fomin
ATP Challenger
08.02.26	Sergey Fomin - Filip Peliwo	2:0 ✺
03.02.26	Sergey Fomin - Stefano Travaglia	0:2 ✺
27.01.26	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Sergey Fomin	2:1 ✺
26.01.26	Enrico Baldisserri - Sergey Fomin	0:2 ✺
11.01.26	Sergey Fomin - Marek Gengel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLLWL
- Sergio Callejon Hernando
ATP Challenger
08.02.26	Sergio Callejon Hernando - Giovanni Fonio	2:0 ✺
03.02.26	Sergio Callejon Hernando - Pol Martin Tiffon	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
21.01.26	Dong Ju Kim - Sergio Callejon Hernando	2:0 ✺
17.01.26	Max Basing - Sergio Callejon Hernando	2:1 ✺
16.01.26	Sergio Callejon Hernando - Imanol Lopez Morillo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLLW

Sergey Fomin - Sergio Callejon Hernando