Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Madrid (Spain), clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 23 April 2024, Tuesday


	Alexandra Eala		Lesia Tsurenko

	1	2
	4.33	1.22	Watch
	3.9	1.25
	4	1.25	Watch
	4.25	1.25
	4.25	1.26
	4	1.25
	4.01	1.26	Watch
	4.2	1.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.12 ↑ (3.14)	1.25 ↓ (1.38)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexandra Eala
23.2%

Lesia Tsurenko
76.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

69.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

70.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexandra Eala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexandra Eala's form might have worsened.

Lesia Tsurenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lesia Tsurenko's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexandra Eala than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexandra Eala, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lesia Tsurenko than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lesia Tsurenko, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	0%	92.3%

Alexandra Eala - Lesia Tsurenko Predictions

Users Predictions: Lesia Tsurenko will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Eala is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Tsurenko is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tsurenko could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Tsurenko is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexandra Eala
ATP Challenger
16.04.24	Gabriela Lee - Alexandra Eala	Canceled ✺
ITF Tournaments
10.04.24	Alexandra Eala - Selena Janicijevic	0:2 ✺
27.03.24	Mona Barthel - Alexandra Eala	2:1 ✺
26.03.24	Alexandra Eala - Emeline Dartron	2:0 ✺
WTA Miami
18.03.24	Emiliana Arango - Alexandra Eala	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 ?LLWL
- Lesia Tsurenko
WTA Billie Jean King Cup World Group
13.04.24	Lesia Tsurenko - Jaqueline Adina Cristian	1:2 ✺
12.04.24	Lesia Tsurenko - Ana Bogdan	2:1 ✺
WTA Charleston
03.04.24	Lesia Tsurenko - Astra Sharma	0:2 ✺
WTA Miami
21.03.24	Lesia Tsurenko - Greetje Minnen	0:2 ✺
21.03.24	Lesia Tsurenko - Barbora Krejcikova	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWLL?

Alexandra Eala - Lesia Tsurenko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide