Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Lakewood, CA, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 26 June 2025, Thursday


	Alexandra Vagramov		Natsuho Arakawa

	1	2
	1.15	4.75
			Watch
	1.14	4.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.15 ↓ (1.55)	4.83 ↑ (2.36)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexandra Vagramov
80.8%

Natsuho Arakawa
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexandra Vagramov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alexandra Vagramov's performance.

Natsuho Arakawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Natsuho Arakawa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexandra Vagramov than the current prediction. (-19.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexandra Vagramov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Natsuho Arakawa than the current prediction. (+19.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Natsuho Arakawa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Vagramov is ranked WTA: 1422. Arakawa is ranked WTA: 935.

Vagramov has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Arakawa is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Arakawa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Vagramov could have a small edge in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexandra Vagramov
ITF Tournaments
25.06.25	Ema Burgic - Alexandra Vagramov	0:2 ✺
29.05.25	Stefania Rogozinska Dzik - Alexandra Vagramov	2:0 ✺
28.05.25	Alexandra Vagramov - Emily Deming	2:0 ✺
07.05.25	Daria Zelinskaya - Alexandra Vagramov	2:0 ✺
30.04.25	Alexandra Vagramov - Ekaterine Gorgodze	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WLWLL
- Natsuho Arakawa
ITF Tournaments
25.06.25	Natsuho Arakawa - Shria Atturu	2:0 ✺
18.06.25	Tianmei Wang - Natsuho Arakawa	2:0 ✺
10.06.25	Natsuho Arakawa - Mary Lewis	0:2 ✺
29.05.25	Natsuho Arakawa - Cadence Brace	0:2 ✺
28.05.25	Vicky Van De Peer - Natsuho Arakawa	Van De Peer V. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLL?

Alexandra Vagramov - Natsuho Arakawa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide