Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: ASTANA (KAZAKHSTAN) - QUALIFICATION, HARD (INDOOR) - FINAL

Date: 27 September 2023, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Alexandre Muller		Egor Gerasimov

	1	2
			Watch
	1.42	2.75
	1.4	2.8	Watch
	1.42	2.8
	1.41	2.89
	1.44	2.62	Watch
	1.34	3.06	Watch
	1.39	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.46)	2.82 ↑ (2.62)

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexandre Muller
66.8%

Egor Gerasimov
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.2%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexandre Muller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Egor Gerasimov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Egor Gerasimov than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	0%	27.3%

Alexandre Muller - Egor Gerasimov Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Muller will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Gerasimov will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Muller: 46.4% – 99%.

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Muller could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Muller will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexandre Muller
ATP Astana
26.09.23	Alexandre Muller - Timur Maulenov	2:0 ✺
ATP Zhuhai
23.09.23	Sebastian Korda - Alexandre Muller	2:1 ✺
21.09.23	Alexandre Muller - Rinky Hijikata	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.09.23	Alexandre Muller - Tomas Machac	1:2 ✺
08.09.23	Alexandre Muller - Giulio Zeppieri	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWLW
- Egor Gerasimov
ATP Astana
26.09.23	Egor Gerasimov - Zizou Bergs	2:0 ✺
ATP Chengdu
19.09.23	Evgeny Donskoy - Egor Gerasimov	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
10.09.23	Egor Gerasimov - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	1:2 ✺
08.09.23	M Rifqi Fitriadi - Egor Gerasimov	Gerasimov E. walkover ✺
06.09.23	Zhe Li - Egor Gerasimov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLL?W

Alexandre Muller - Egor Gerasimov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide