Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: CASSIS (FRANCE), HARD - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 7 September 2023, Thursday


	Alexandre Muller		Laurent Lokoli

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.67	2.15
	1.63	2.32
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.61	2.21	Watch
	1.65	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.44)	2.17 ↓ (2.61)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexandre Muller
56.8%

Laurent Lokoli
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexandre Muller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexandre Muller's form might have worsened.

Laurent Lokoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Laurent Lokoli's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexandre Muller, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Laurent Lokoli than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Laurent Lokoli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95%	0%	5%

Alexandre Muller - Laurent Lokoli Predictions

Users Predictions: Alexandre Muller will win (19 of 20 users predict this - 95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Muller is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Lokoli is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lokoli could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Muller will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexandre Muller
ATP Challenger
05.09.23	Alexandre Muller - Joao Sousa	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
28.08.23	Alexandre Muller - Novak Djokovic	0:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
20.08.23	Alexandre Muller - Benjamin Bonzi	0:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
12.08.23	Jordan Thompson - Alexandre Muller	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.08.23	Alexandre Muller - Enrico Dalla Valle	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 WLLLL
- Laurent Lokoli
ATP Challenger
05.09.23	Laurent Lokoli - Ugo Blanchet	2:0 ✺
31.08.23	Laurent Lokoli - Hamad Medjedovic	1:2 ✺
30.08.23	Laurent Lokoli - Abedallah Shelbayh	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
22.08.23	Laurent Lokoli - Tomas Machac	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.08.23	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Laurent Lokoli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLWLL

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