Match Info

Date: 5 April 2022, Tuesday


	Alexandre Muller		Lucas Miedler

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.34	3
	1.37	3	Watch
	1.35	2.9
	1.37	3.09
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.33	3.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.58)	2.96 ↑ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexandre Muller
68.4%

Lucas Miedler
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexandre Muller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alexandre Muller's performance.

Lucas Miedler has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lucas Miedler might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexandre Muller that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucas Miedler than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lucas Miedler could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alexandre Muller - Lucas Miedler Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Muller is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Miedler is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Miedler could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Muller will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Muller won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexandre Muller
ATP Challenger
29.03.22	Alexandre Muller - Jerome Kym	0:2 ✺
21.03.22	Vitaliy Sachko - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
23.02.22	Quentin Halys - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
16.02.22	Alexandre Muller - Dimitar Kuzmanov	0:2 ✺
14.02.22	Elliot Benchetrit - Alexandre Muller	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLW
- Lucas Miedler
ATP Challenger
28.03.22	Lucas Miedler - Yunseong Chung	0:2 ✺
27.03.22	Lucas Miedler - Mika Brunold	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
20.03.22	Lucas Miedler - Fabian Marozsan	1:2 ✺
19.03.22	Lucas Miedler - Gauthier Onclin	2:1 ✺
18.03.22	Lucas Miedler - Jumpei Yamasaki	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
09.09.19	Lucas Miedler - Alexandre Muller	2:0

Alexandre Muller - Lucas Miedler: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide