Match Info

Date: 3 December 2021, Friday


	Alexey Vatutin		Jelle Sels

	1	2
	1.66	2.1	Watch
	1.72	2
	1.74	2.04	Watch
	1.7	1.99
	1.87	1.95
	1.66	2.1	Watch
	1.77	2.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.65)	2.03 ↓ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexey Vatutin
54%

Jelle Sels
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexey Vatutin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Jelle Sels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexey Vatutin than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jelle Sels than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Alexey Vatutin - Jelle Sels Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Vatutin will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Sels will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sels: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Vatutin in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Sels is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Vatutin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Vatutin to win the game is with odds 1.64.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Vatutin won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexey Vatutin
ATP Challenger
01.12.21	Alexey Vatutin - Lucas Miedler	2:1 ✺
30.11.21	Thomas Fabbiano - Alexey Vatutin	0:2 ✺
29.11.21	Michael Geerts - Alexey Vatutin	0:2 ✺
28.11.21	Lorenzo Angelini - Alexey Vatutin	0:2 ✺
09.11.21	Radu Albot - Alexey Vatutin	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWWW?
- Jelle Sels
ATP Challenger
02.12.21	Jelle Sels - Radu Albot	2:0 ✺
30.11.21	Jelle Sels - Matteo Gigante	2:0 ✺
29.11.21	Valentin Vacherot - Jelle Sels	1:2 ✺
28.11.21	Alessandro Pecci - Jelle Sels	0:2 ✺
12.11.21	Jelle Sels - Hiroki Moriya	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
08.11.21	Alexey Vatutin - Jelle Sels	2:0
14.07.21	Jelle Sels - Alexey Vatutin	2:0

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