Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Antalya 3, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 3 April 2025, Thursday


	Alexey Vatutin		Nino Serdarusic

	1	2
	1.7	2
	1.7	2.08	Watch
	1.73	2
	1.68	2.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.51)	2.04 ↓ (2.5)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexey Vatutin
54.4%

Nino Serdarusic
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexey Vatutin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexey Vatutin's form might have worsened.

Nino Serdarusic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nino Serdarusic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexey Vatutin than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexey Vatutin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nino Serdarusic than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nino Serdarusic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Vatutin is ranked ATP: 342. Serdarusic is ranked ATP: 700.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Serdarusic could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Vatutin will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Vatutin won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexey Vatutin
ITF Tournaments
02.04.25	Alexey Vatutin - Junzhang Fu	2:0 ✺
20.03.25	Alexey Vatutin - Loann Massard	Massard L. walkover ✺
18.03.25	Alexey Vatutin - Tom Paris	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.03.25	Patrick Zahraj - Alexey Vatutin	2:0 ✺
24.02.25	Murphy Cassone - Alexey Vatutin	Cassone M. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 W?WL?
- Nino Serdarusic
ITF Tournaments
02.04.25	Nino Serdarusic - Gabriel Ghetu	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.03.25	Nino Serdarusic - Luka Mikrut	Serdarusic N. retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.02.25	Christian Sigsgaard - Nino Serdarusic	2:0 ✺
06.02.25	Nino Serdarusic - Zdenek Kolar	0:2 ✺
05.02.25	Nino Serdarusic - Juan Ignacio Zamora	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 W?LLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
01.03.21	Nino Serdarusic - Alexey Vatutin	1:2
20.10.20	Alexey Vatutin - Nino Serdarusic	1:2

Alexey Vatutin - Nino Serdarusic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide