Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: CALGARY (CANADA), HARD (INDOOR) - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 11 November 2022, Friday


	Alexis Galarneau		Aleksandar Vukic

	1	2
	1.8	1.9	Watch
	1.72	2
	1.87	1.92
	1.79	1.99
	1.75	2.11
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.71	2.09	Watch
	1.73	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (2.09)	2.01 ↑ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexis Galarneau
53.2%

Aleksandar Vukic
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

56%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexis Galarneau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alexis Galarneau's performance.

Aleksandar Vukic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aleksandar Vukic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexis Galarneau than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexis Galarneau that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aleksandar Vukic than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aleksandar Vukic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Alexis Galarneau - Aleksandar Vukic Predictions

Users Predictions: Alexis Galarneau will win (20 of 22 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.9% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexis Galarneau
ATP Challenger
10.11.22	Alexis Galarneau - Skander Mansouri	2:0 ✺
08.11.22	Alexis Galarneau - Maximilian Neuchrist	2:0 ✺
01.11.22	Edan Leshem - Alexis Galarneau	2:0 ✺
28.10.22	Alexis Galarneau - Stefan Kozlov	1:2 ✺
27.10.22	Alexis Galarneau - Govind Nanda	Nanda G. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWLL?
- Aleksandar Vukic
ATP Challenger
10.11.22	Charles Broom - Aleksandar Vukic	1:2 ✺
08.11.22	Benjamin Lock - Aleksandar Vukic	0:2 ✺
01.11.22	Adam Walton - Aleksandar Vukic	2:0 ✺
31.10.22	Colin Sinclair - Aleksandar Vukic	0:2 ✺
24.10.22	Colin Sinclair - Aleksandar Vukic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWLWL

Alexis Galarneau - Aleksandar Vukic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide