Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Irvine, CA, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 June 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Irvine 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Alexis Nguyen		Midori Castillo Meza

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Alexis Nguyen
68.7%

Midori Castillo Meza
31.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61.9%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.2%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexis Nguyen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alexis Nguyen's performance.

Midori Castillo Meza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Midori Castillo Meza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexis Nguyen than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Midori Castillo Meza than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Nguyen is ranked WTA: 765. Castillo Meza is ranked WTA: 982.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Castillo Meza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Nguyen is considered a favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexis Nguyen
ITF Tournaments
18.06.26	Alexis Nguyen - Sophia Webster	2:0 ✺
11.06.26	Alexis Nguyen - Lily Taylor	1:2 ✺
10.06.26	Alexis Nguyen - Jo-Yee Chan	2:0 ✺
27.05.26	Alexis Nguyen - Tatum Evans	0:2 ✺
12.05.26	Alexis Nguyen - Savannah Broadus	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLWLL
- Midori Castillo Meza
ITF Tournaments
18.06.26	Tanvi Pandey - Midori Castillo Meza	0:2 ✺
17.06.26	Yulia Zhytelna - Midori Castillo Meza	0:2 ✺
10.06.26	Midori Castillo Meza - Kenzie Nguyen	0:2 ✺
28.05.26	Mayu Crossley - Midori Castillo Meza	2:0 ✺
27.05.26	Midori Castillo Meza - Isabella Marton	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWLLW

Alexis Nguyen - Midori Castillo Meza