Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: San Diego (USA) - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 24 February 2025, Monday


	Alfredo Perez		Sebastian Gima

	1	2
			Watch
	1.32	3.1	Watch
	1.26	3.69
	1.29	3.39	Watch
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.33	3.14	Watch
	1.32	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.44)	3.28 ↑ (2.61)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alfredo Perez
71.5%

Sebastian Gima
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alfredo Perez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alfredo Perez's performance.

Sebastian Gima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sebastian Gima might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alfredo Perez than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Gima than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Alfredo Perez - Sebastian Gima Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Perez is ranked ATP: 564. Gima is ranked ATP: 593.

Perez is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Gima is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Perez could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Perez will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alfredo Perez
ATP Challenger
23.02.25	Alfredo Perez - Maxwell McKennon	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
15.02.25	Alfredo Perez - Aidan McHugh	0:2 ✺
14.02.25	Alfredo Perez - Maxwell McKennon	2:0 ✺
13.02.25	Alfredo Perez - Lorenzo Esquici	2:0 ✺
12.02.25	Alfredo Perez - Tadeo Meneo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWWW
- Sebastian Gima
ATP Challenger
23.02.25	Kaylan Bigun - Sebastian Gima	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.02.25	Sebastian Gima - Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez	0:2 ✺
04.02.25	Evan Zhu - Sebastian Gima	2:0 ✺
02.02.25	Sebastian Gima - Garrett Johns	1:2 ✺
01.02.25	Aleksa Ciric - Sebastian Gima	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLLW

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