Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Portoroz, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 May 2025, Wednesday


	Alice Rame		Mei Yamaguchi

	1	2
			Watch
	1.48	2.4
	1.46	2.58
	1.5	2.49	Watch
	1.44	2.62
	1.49	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.85)	2.51 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alice Rame
63%

Mei Yamaguchi
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alice Rame has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alice Rame's performance.

Mei Yamaguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mei Yamaguchi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alice Rame than the current prediction. (-15.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alice Rame that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mei Yamaguchi than the current prediction. (+15.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mei Yamaguchi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Rame is ranked WTA: 339. Yamaguchi is ranked WTA: 269.

Recent form of Rame has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Yamaguchi has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Yamaguchi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Alice Rame - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alice Rame
ITF Tournaments
13.05.25	Caty McNally - Alice Rame	2:0 ✺
08.05.25	Lois Boisson - Alice Rame	2:0 ✺
07.05.25	Harmony Tan - Alice Rame	Tan H. retired ✺
25.04.25	Kathinka Von Deichmann - Alice Rame	2:0 ✺
24.04.25	Alice Rame - Celine Naef	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LL?LW
- Mei Yamaguchi Tennis
ITF Tournaments
14.05.25	Gabriella Da Silva Fick - Mei Yamaguchi	2:1 ✺
14.05.25	Shiho Akita - Mei Yamaguchi	0:2 ✺
30.04.25	Mei Yamaguchi - Mananchaya Sawangkaew	0:2 ✺
29.04.25	Sara Saito - Mei Yamaguchi	0:2 ✺
24.04.25	Aoi Ito - Mei Yamaguchi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWLWL

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