Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W25 SANTAREM (PORTUGAL), HARD - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 28 September 2023, Thursday


	Alina Charaeva		Eva Guerrero Alvarez

	1	2
	2.55	1.44
	2.55	1.45
	2.62	1.45
	2.75	1.4
	2.66	1.42	Watch
	2.65	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↓ (2.75)	1.43 ↑ (1.39)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alina Charaeva
35.2%

Eva Guerrero Alvarez
64.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

66.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

69.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alina Charaeva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Eva Guerrero Alvarez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alina Charaeva than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alina Charaeva that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eva Guerrero Alvarez than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Eva Guerrero Alvarez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Guerrero Alvarez could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Guerrero Alvarez will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Charaeva won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alina Charaeva
ITF Tournaments
31.08.23	Anna Kubareva - Alina Charaeva	2:0 ✺
30.08.23	Alina Charaeva - Clara Vlasselaer	Vlasselaer C. retired ✺
23.08.23	Alina Charaeva - Anna Brogan	0:2 ✺
18.08.23	Alina Charaeva - Francisca Jorge	1:2 ✺
17.08.23	Anna Kubareva - Alina Charaeva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 L?LLW
- Eva Guerrero Alvarez
ITF Tournaments
27.09.23	Aliona Falei - Eva Guerrero Alvarez	0:2 ✺
15.09.23	Eva Guerrero Alvarez - Madison Sieg	0:2 ✺
14.09.23	Sofia Costoulas - Eva Guerrero Alvarez	1:2 ✺
13.09.23	Matilde Jorge - Eva Guerrero Alvarez	0:2 ✺
31.08.23	Eva Guerrero Alvarez - Marina Stakusic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
01.08.23	Alina Charaeva - Eva Guerrero Alvarez	0:2

Alina Charaeva - Eva Guerrero Alvarez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide