Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Saint-Gaudens, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 9 May 2025, Friday


	Alina Charaeva		Jessika Ponchet

	1	2
			Watch
	2.05	1.65
	2.13	1.68
	2.21	1.62	Watch
	2.1	1.67
	2.13	1.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (2.09)	1.65 ↓ (1.69)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alina Charaeva
43.8%

Jessika Ponchet
56.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

54.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alina Charaeva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Jessika Ponchet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alina Charaeva than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jessika Ponchet than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Alina Charaeva - Jessika Ponchet Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Charaeva is ranked WTA: 253. Ponchet is ranked WTA: 141.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Jessika Ponchet - the odds 1.69 are the expected chance of winning is 55.29%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alina Charaeva
ITF Tournaments
08.05.25	Alina Charaeva - Marina Bassols Ribera	2:1 ✺
07.05.25	Nina Stojanovic - Alina Charaeva	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.04.25	Alina Charaeva - Diana Martynov	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.04.25	Alina Charaeva - Chloe Paquet	0:2 ✺
17.04.25	Eva Vedder - Alina Charaeva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWLLW
- Jessika Ponchet
ITF Tournaments
08.05.25	Kaitlin Quevedo - Jessika Ponchet	1:2 ✺
07.05.25	Andrea Lazaro Garcia - Jessika Ponchet	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.04.25	Jessika Ponchet - Diane Parry	0:2 ✺
WTA Rouen
18.04.25	Jessika Ponchet - Elena Gabriela Ruse	0:2 ✺
16.04.25	Fiona Ferro - Jessika Ponchet	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWLLW

Alina Charaeva - Jessika Ponchet: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide