Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Porto, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 July 2025, Tuesday


	Alina Korneeva		Manon Leonard

	1	2
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.34	3.2
	1.3	3.05	Watch
	1.35	3.25
			Watch
	1.33	3.25
	1.34	3.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.35)	3.21 ↑ (2.95)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alina Korneeva
70.7%

Manon Leonard
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.6%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.8%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alina Korneeva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Manon Leonard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alina Korneeva than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manon Leonard than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Alina Korneeva - Manon Leonard Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Korneeva will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Leonard will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Leonard (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Korneeva is ranked WTA: 275. Leonard is ranked WTA: 192.

In recent matches, Korneeva has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Leonard is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Leonard may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Korneeva will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Manon Leonard - the odds 2.95 are the expected chance of winning is 31.4%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alina Korneeva
ATP Challenger
14.07.25	Alina Korneeva - Madison Sieg	2:0 ✺
13.07.25	Alina Korneeva - Ekaterina Ovcharenko	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
10.07.25	Alina Korneeva - Linda Klimovicova	1:2 ✺
09.07.25	Han Shi - Alina Korneeva	0:2 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
24.06.25	Rebeka Masarova - Alina Korneeva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWLWL
- Manon Leonard
ITF Tournaments
12.07.25	Aoi Ito - Manon Leonard	2:1 ✺
11.07.25	Manon Leonard - Ekaterina Ovcharenko	2:1 ✺
10.07.25	Manon Leonard - Elena Micic	2:0 ✺
09.07.25	Manon Leonard - Madalena Matias	2:0 ✺
06.07.25	Manon Leonard - Rina Saigo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWWW

Alina Korneeva - Manon Leonard: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide