Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Ourense, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 August 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Ourense 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Aliona Falei		Alba Rey Garcia

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Aliona Falei
74.6%

Alba Rey Garcia
25.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68.3%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aliona Falei has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aliona Falei's performance.

Alba Rey Garcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alba Rey Garcia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aliona Falei than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alba Rey Garcia than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Falei is ranked WTA: 326. Rey Garcia is ranked WTA: 634.

Falei has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Rey Garcia is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Falei is a strong favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aliona Falei
ATP Challenger
15.07.25	Aliona Falei - Hina Inoue	1:2 ✺
14.07.25	Zarina Diyas - Aliona Falei	1:2 ✺
13.07.25	Evialina Laskevich - Aliona Falei	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.07.25	Aliona Falei - Hanyu Guo	1:2 ✺
11.06.25	Aliona Falei - Angelina Voloshchuk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWWLL
- Alba Rey Garcia
ITF Tournaments
16.07.25	Ellie Schoppe - Alba Rey Garcia	2:0 ✺
08.07.25	Alina Granwehr - Alba Rey Garcia	2:0 ✺
23.06.25	Eva Vedder - Alba Rey Garcia	2:0 ✺
17.06.25	Polina Iatcenko - Alba Rey Garcia	2:0 ✺
11.06.25	Mana Kawamura - Alba Rey Garcia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Aliona Falei - Alba Rey Garcia