Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Australian Open (Australia) - Qualification, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 6 January 2025, Monday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)


	Aliona Falei		Arina Rodionova

	1	2
	1.73	2
	1.65	2.15
	1.7	2.03	Watch
	1.73	2.16	Watch
	1.73	2
	1.72	2.1	Watch
	1.7	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.85)	2.07 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aliona Falei
54.7%

Arina Rodionova
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aliona Falei has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Arina Rodionova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aliona Falei than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aliona Falei that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arina Rodionova than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arina Rodionova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Aliona Falei - Arina Rodionova Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Falei will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Rodionova will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rodionova: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Falei is ranked WTA: 207. Rodionova is ranked WTA: 164.

Recent matches Falei is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rodionova is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Falei won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:4 (average 0:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aliona Falei
ATP Challenger
28.12.24	Aliona Falei - Anouk Koevermans	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
03.12.24	Aliona Falei - Jodie Anna Burrage	0:2 ✺
30.11.24	Hina Inoue - Aliona Falei	1:2 ✺
29.11.24	En Shuo Liang - Aliona Falei	Liang E. S. retired ✺
28.11.24	Carol Zhao - Aliona Falei	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLW?W
- Arina Rodionova
WTA Brisbane
27.12.24	Ana Bogdan - Arina Rodionova	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.12.24	Amarni Banks - Arina Rodionova	2:1 ✺
27.11.24	Arina Rodionova - Vivian Wolff	1:2 ✺
21.11.24	Amarissa Kiara Toth - Arina Rodionova	2:0 ✺
20.11.24	Gabriela Knutson - Arina Rodionova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
08.07.23	Aliona Falei - Arina Rodionova	0:2
02.06.23	Aliona Falei - Arina Rodionova	0:2

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