Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Montemor-o-Novo, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 6 June 2025, Friday


	Aliona Falei		Matilde Jorge

	1	2
			Watch
	2.3	1.53
	2.2	1.6
	2.31	1.58
	2.39	1.54	Watch
	2.38	1.53
	2.42	1.51	Watch
	2.2	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (1.85)	1.56 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aliona Falei
40.2%

Matilde Jorge
59.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aliona Falei has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aliona Falei's form might have worsened.

Matilde Jorge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Matilde Jorge's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aliona Falei than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aliona Falei, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matilde Jorge than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matilde Jorge, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Aliona Falei - Matilde Jorge Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Falei is ranked WTA: 301. Jorge is ranked WTA: 292.

Falei is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Jorge has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aliona Falei
ITF Tournaments
05.06.25	Aliona Falei - Nahia Berecoechea	2:0 ✺
04.06.25	Aliona Falei - Angelina Voloshchuk	2:0 ✺
09.05.25	Aliona Falei - Carol Young Suh Lee	0:2 ✺
08.05.25	Aliona Falei - Rositsa Dencheva	2:0 ✺
07.05.25	Aliona Falei - Darja Suvirdjonkova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWLWW
- Matilde Jorge
ITF Tournaments
05.06.25	Maria Garcia - Matilde Jorge	0:2 ✺
04.06.25	Akiko Omae - Matilde Jorge	1:2 ✺
20.05.25	Matilde Jorge - Amarissa Kiara Toth	0:2 ✺
13.05.25	Oleksandra Oliynykova - Matilde Jorge	2:0 ✺
24.04.25	Greetje Minnen - Matilde Jorge	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WWLLL

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