Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Nonthaburi (Thailand), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 20 March 2025, Thursday


	Alisa Kummel		Yuki Naito

	1	2
	4.1	1.18
	3.89	1.23	Watch
	3.75	1.25
	3.62	1.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.84 ↑ (3)	1.23 ↓ (1.36)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alisa Kummel
24.2%

Yuki Naito
75.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

68.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

70.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alisa Kummel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alisa Kummel's form might have worsened.

Yuki Naito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Yuki Naito's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alisa Kummel than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alisa Kummel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yuki Naito than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yuki Naito, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Kummel is ranked WTA: 790. Naito is ranked WTA: 504.

Kummel is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Naito is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Naito could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Naito is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alisa Kummel
ITF Tournaments
20.03.25	Thasaporn Naklo - Alisa Kummel	Naklo T. retired ✺
17.03.25	Mika Buchnik - Alisa Kummel	1:2 ✺
11.03.25	Polina Iatcenko - Alisa Kummel	2:0 ✺
04.03.25	Alisa Kummel - Qiu Yu Ye	0:2 ✺
26.02.25	Ekaterina Shalimova - Alisa Kummel	Kummel A. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 ?WLL?
- Yuki Naito
ITF Tournaments
20.03.25	Loes Ebeling Koning - Yuki Naito	0:2 ✺
18.03.25	Yuno Kitahara - Yuki Naito	0:2 ✺
22.02.25	Yuki Naito - Luisina Giovannini	0:2 ✺
21.02.25	Yuki Naito - Sandra Samir	2:0 ✺
20.02.25	Carolina Alves - Yuki Naito	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWLWW

Alisa Kummel - Yuki Naito: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide