Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Kayseri 8, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 September 2025, Wednesday


	Alp Horoz		Semen Pankin

	1	2
	4.29	1.18
	4.82	1.13	Watch
	3.72	1.24	Watch
	3	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.96 ↑ (3)	1.23 ↓ (1.36)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alp Horoz
23.7%

Semen Pankin
76.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

68.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

70.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alp Horoz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alp Horoz's form might have worsened.

Semen Pankin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Semen Pankin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alp Horoz than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alp Horoz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Semen Pankin than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Semen Pankin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alp Horoz - Semen Pankin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Horoz is ranked ATP: 1305. Pankin is ranked ATP: 746.

Horoz is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Pankin has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Horoz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Pankin is seen as the favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alp Horoz
ITF Tournaments
17.09.25	Espen Lagarde - Alp Horoz	2:1 ✺
13.08.25	Finn Bass - Alp Horoz	2:1 ✺
12.08.25	Alp Horoz - Oskari Eerola	2:1 ✺
06.08.25	Alp Horoz - Taisei Ichikawa	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.07.25	Alp Horoz - Michal Krajci	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLWLL
- Semen Pankin
ITF Tournaments
23.09.25	Essa Qabazard - Semen Pankin	Canceled ✺
20.09.25	Semen Pankin - Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine	0:2 ✺
19.09.25	Daniel De Jonge - Semen Pankin	0:2 ✺
18.09.25	Joe Tyler - Semen Pankin	0:2 ✺
17.09.25	James Beaven - Semen Pankin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 ?LWWW

Alp Horoz - Semen Pankin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide