Match Info

Date: 22 March 2021, Monday


	Altug Celikbilek		Evgeny Donskoy

	1	2
	1.61	2.2	Watch
	1.7	2.05
	1.7	2.17	Watch
	1.64	2.08
	1.72	2.14
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.68	2.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (2.37)	2.13 ↑ (1.54)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Altug Celikbilek
56%

Evgeny Donskoy
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

61.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Altug Celikbilek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Altug Celikbilek's performance.

Evgeny Donskoy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Evgeny Donskoy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Altug Celikbilek than the current prediction. (-17.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Altug Celikbilek that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Evgeny Donskoy than the current prediction. (+17.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Evgeny Donskoy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
79.7%	0%	20.3%

Altug Celikbilek - Evgeny Donskoy Predictions

Users Predictions: 69 users predict this event. Celikbilek will win (votes: 55 - 79.7%). Donskoy will win (votes: 14 - 20.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Celikbilek: 70.2% – 89.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Celikbilek is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Donskoy is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Donskoy could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Altug Celikbilek
ATP Challenger
11.03.21	Evgenii Tiurnev - Altug Celikbilek	2:1 ✺
09.03.21	Altug Celikbilek - Teymuraz Gabashvili	2:0 ✺
07.03.21	Altug Celikbilek - Zizou Bergs	1:2 ✺
06.03.21	Altug Celikbilek - Artem Dubrivnyy	2:1 ✺
05.03.21	Jesper De Jong - Altug Celikbilek	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWLWW
- Evgeny Donskoy
ATP Dubai
13.03.21	Evgeny Donskoy - Ramkumar Ramanathan	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.03.21	Evgeny Donskoy - Sebastian Ofner	0:2 ✺
24.02.21	Tomas Machac - Evgeny Donskoy	2:1 ✺
20.02.21	Evgeny Donskoy - Soon Woo Kwon	1:2 ✺
19.02.21	Federico Gaio - Evgeny Donskoy	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLLW

Altug Celikbilek - Evgeny Donskoy: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide