Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Calvi, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 April 2025, Thursday


	Alyssa Reguer		Marine Szostak

	1	2
			Watch
	2.95	1.33
	3.11	1.33
	3.08	1.34
	3.25	1.33
	3.74	1.21	Watch
	2.5	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↑ (2.5)	1.34 ↓ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alyssa Reguer
30.1%

Marine Szostak
69.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

63.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alyssa Reguer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alyssa Reguer's form might have worsened.

Marine Szostak has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marine Szostak's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alyssa Reguer than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alyssa Reguer, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marine Szostak than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marine Szostak, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alyssa Reguer - Marine Szostak Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Reguer is ranked WTA: 601. Szostak is ranked WTA: 615.

Reguer is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Szostak is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Szostak could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Szostak will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alyssa Reguer
ITF Tournaments
03.04.25	Jasmijn Gimbrere - Alyssa Reguer	2:0 ✺
02.04.25	Alyssa Reguer - Pooja Ingale	2:0 ✺
26.03.25	Alyssa Reguer - Sada Nahimana	0:2 ✺
12.03.25	Alyssa Reguer - Andre Lukosiute	0:2 ✺
07.03.25	Julia Adams - Alyssa Reguer	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LWLLL
- Marine Szostak
ITF Tournaments
26.03.25	Anchisa Chanta - Marine Szostak	2:0 ✺
22.03.25	Anchisa Chanta - Marine Szostak	2:0 ✺
20.03.25	Joy De Zeeuw - Marine Szostak	0:2 ✺
20.03.25	Marine Szostak - Eunhye Lee	2:0 ✺
19.03.25	Yu Jin Ahn - Marine Szostak	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLWWW

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