Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Cherbourg-en-Cotentin, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Cherbourg-en-Cotentin 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Amandine Hesse		Francisca Jorge

	1	2
			Watch
	2.65	1.40
	2.7	1.4
	2.71	1.39	Watch
	2.65	1.42
	2.7	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.56)	1.4 ↓ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amandine Hesse
34.3%

Francisca Jorge
65.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.8%

64.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

61.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amandine Hesse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Francisca Jorge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amandine Hesse than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francisca Jorge than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Amandine Hesse - Francisca Jorge Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Hesse is ranked WTA: 436., and Jorge is ranked WTA: 218..

Each of the two players is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Jorge may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Jorge holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Hesse has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:0 (averaging 1:0 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Amandine Hesse - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 35.84%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Francisca Jorge - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 64.16%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amandine Hesse
ATP Challenger
11.10.26	Maria Garcia Cid - Amandine Hesse	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
06.10.26	Katerina Tsygourova - Amandine Hesse	2:0 ✺
03.10.26	Amandine Hesse - Charo Esquiva Banuls	0:2 ✺
02.10.26	Cadence Brace - Amandine Hesse	0:2 ✺
01.10.26	Laura Hietaranta - Amandine Hesse	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLLWW
- Francisca Jorge
ATP Challenger
15.10.26	Francisca Jorge - Francesca Jones	0:2 ✺
13.10.26	Zhibek Kulambayeva - Francisca Jorge	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.10.26	Francisca Jorge - Eva Vedder	1:2 ✺
01.10.26	Francisca Jorge - Kylie Collins	2:0 ✺
29.09.26	Francisca Jorge - Teresa Franco Dias	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
24.10.25	Amandine Hesse - Francisca Jorge	Jorge F. walkover
19.09.23	Amandine Hesse - Francisca Jorge	2:0

Amandine Hesse - Francisca Jorge