Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Quinta do Lago (Portugal), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 12 October 2024, Saturday


	Amandine Monnot		Mia Ristic

	1	2
	2.3	1.53
	2.25	1.55
	2.38	1.55
	2.28	1.56	Watch
	2.2	1.62
	2.24	1.59	Watch
	2.25	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (1.87)	1.56 ↓ (1.81)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amandine Monnot
40.8%

Mia Ristic
59.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

48.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amandine Monnot has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Amandine Monnot's form might have worsened.

Mia Ristic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mia Ristic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amandine Monnot than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Amandine Monnot, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mia Ristic than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mia Ristic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Amandine Monnot - Mia Ristic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Monnot is ranked WTA: 521. Ristic is ranked WTA: 412.

Two players are playing changeable.

Ristic could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amandine Monnot
ITF Tournaments
10.10.24	Yeon Woo Ku - Amandine Monnot	0:2 ✺
08.10.24	Emma Wilson - Amandine Monnot	0:2 ✺
03.10.24	Justina Mikulskyte - Amandine Monnot	2:0 ✺
02.10.24	Yasmine Mansouri - Amandine Monnot	1:2 ✺
04.09.24	Amandine Monnot - Amandine Hesse	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWLWL
- Mia Ristic
ITF Tournaments
09.10.24	Mia Ristic - Olga Golas	2:0 ✺
25.09.24	Lola Radivojevic - Mia Ristic	2:1 ✺
24.09.24	Mia Ristic - Suana Tucakovic	2:0 ✺
17.09.24	Mia Ristic - Veronika Erjavec	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.09.24	Leonie Kung - Mia Ristic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 WLWLL

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