Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Palermo, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 July 2026, Monday


	Amarissa Kiara Toth		Jennifer Ruggeri

	1	2
	2.20	1.62	Watch
	2.10	1.72
	2.18	1.65	Watch
	2.24	1.74
	2.1	1.65	Watch
	2.12	1.71
	2.11	1.65	Watch
	2.12	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.19)	1.67 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amarissa Kiara Toth
43.8%

Jennifer Ruggeri
56.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

57.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amarissa Kiara Toth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Jennifer Ruggeri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amarissa Kiara Toth than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jennifer Ruggeri than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Amarissa Kiara Toth - Jennifer Ruggeri Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Ruggeri will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Toth is ranked WTA: 363. Ruggeri is ranked WTA: 213.

Recent form of Toth has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ruggeri has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ruggeri may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ruggeri will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Toth won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Amarissa Kiara Toth - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 42.06%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amarissa Kiara Toth
ATP Challenger
19.07.26	Raluca Georgiana Serban - Amarissa Kiara Toth	Serban R. Retired ✺
18.07.26	Lucija Ciric Bagaric - Amarissa Kiara Toth	Toth A. K. Walkover ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.06.26	Amarissa Kiara Toth - Daria Kuczer	1:2 ✺
23.06.26	Laura Hietaranta - Amarissa Kiara Toth	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.06.26	Lara Salden - Amarissa Kiara Toth	Salden L. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 ??LW?
- Jennifer Ruggeri
ATP Challenger
14.07.26	Teodora Kostovic - Jennifer Ruggeri	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
07.07.26	Anouck Vrancken Peeters - Jennifer Ruggeri	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.06.26	Jennifer Ruggeri - Mayar Sherif	1:2 ✺
16.06.26	Jennifer Ruggeri - Elena Ruxandra Bertea	2:1 ✺
14.06.26	Jennifer Ruggeri - Yelyzaveta Kotliar	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
13.11.25	Amarissa Kiara Toth - Jennifer Ruggeri	Toth A. K. walkover
18.10.25	Amarissa Kiara Toth - Jennifer Ruggeri	0:2

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