The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova 42.2%
Jelena Ostapenko 57.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.1%
54.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.8%
54.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
Jelena Ostapenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jelena Ostapenko than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
88.3%
0%
11.7%
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova - Jelena Ostapenko Predictions
Users Predictions:
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova will win
(106 of 120 users predict this - 88.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 82.59% – 94.07%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Pavlyuchenkova is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Ostapenko is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Pavlyuchenkova could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Ostapenko will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Pavlyuchenkova won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2-8.